Faltam 29 dias

Para os que ainda se lembram, o meu palpite para a aterragem do FMI na Portela era o fim deste mês. Faltam 29 dias e presumo que o nosso Primeiro Ministro tenha ido hoje justificar-se à nossa líder do Governo porque é que ainda não pediu ajuda à UE e ao FMI.

Enquanto ele se justifica outros vão colocando os seus palpites parecidos com os meus:

“The borrowing costs are just too high” for Portugal, Christopher Iggo, London-based chief investment officer for fixed income at Axa, France’s fourth-largest fund manager, said in a telephone interview two days ago. “Ireland and Greece had to go for a bailout once their borrowing costs got that high, so I fully expect Portugal to go within the next few weeks.”

Portugal’s 10-year bond yield reached 7.64 percent on Feb. 10, the most since the inception of the euro in 1999, and was at 7.45 percent as of 12:01 p.m. in London. It first climbed above 7 percent on Nov. 10 and has been above that level since Feb. 4. Greece needed a rescue within 17 days of its 10-year yield breaching 7 percent on April 6, while Ireland lasted less than a month after it cracked that level in October.